Badenoch’s pointed critique centred on a critical omission in the government’s initial list of excluded offences: indecent assault. She highlighted that this grave offence, a common charge in historical child sexual abuse cases, was conspicuously absent from the categories deemed ineligible for early release. This oversight, she argued, created a dangerous loophole that could see perpetrators of heinous crimes re-entering society prematurely, jeopardising public safety and inflicting further trauma on victims.
Among the prisoners whose offences were not initially included in the list of exclusions are five men convicted of indecent assault as part of a historical grooming-gang case in Bradford. Their potential early release sparked immediate alarm, drawing parallels to other notorious grooming scandals and underscoring the severity of the scheme’s initial design flaws. The prime minister’s spokesperson confirmed that Burnham had personally instructed the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) to "conduct an in-depth review of cases to ensure that grooming cases were identified" with utmost priority. "This work is happening urgently," Burnham’s spokesperson reiterated, emphasizing the gravity of the situation. "This is extremely important to the PM and he has personally intervened to ensure everything possible is being done so that vile groomers are dealt with in the way their victims deserve."
At this initial stage, the review is understood to focus solely on identifying offenders who might be released early under the existing framework. Crucially, the government has yet to confirm whether this identification process will automatically lead to the prevention of any early releases for those convicted of grooming-related crimes under the indecent assault charge. This ambiguity has done little to quell the anxieties of victims and their advocates, who demand concrete assurances that no such offenders will benefit from the scheme.
Kemi Badenoch, quick to seize on the government’s reversal, described the intervention as "another U-turn secured" and "another review from Burnham following my letter." Her comments underscore the intense political pressure exerted on the government, forcing a recalibration of a policy initially designed to address the burgeoning crisis of prison overcrowding.
The government’s broader plan involves the early release of approximately 5,000 offenders across England and Wales. This drastic measure is a direct response to the critical shortage of space in the nation’s overcrowded jails, a problem that has plagued successive administrations. Following his ascension to prime minister, Burnham had already initiated a review of the scheme, leading to an announcement earlier this week that some prisoners convicted of rape, serious child sex offences, and other grooming offences would be barred from early release. However, Badenoch’s subsequent letter exposed the critical flaw regarding indecent assault, highlighting that many more types of offenders, including those who have sexually assaulted children, could still be freed early.
In her sharply worded letter, Badenoch directly challenged the Prime Minister’s earlier assurances: "On Tuesday, you told the country that those convicted of grooming offences would be excluded. Your own government has now put in writing that some of these men will be released early anyway." She specifically highlighted that indecent assault, often the charge for child sex abuse committed before the Sexual Offences Act 2003 came into force, was not excluded. This included notorious cases in regions like Rotherham and Rochdale, where systemic child sexual exploitation was brought to light. Badenoch branded this an "appalling betrayal of victims," and urged Burnham to immediately publish the full, comprehensive list of offences that remain eligible for early release, demanding complete transparency.
Under the updated changes mandated by Prime Minister Burnham, individuals sentenced for rape, serious child sex offences, and specific grooming offences will now be ineligible for early release from October onwards. However, a significant cohort of prisoners not explicitly excluded could still be freed after serving a mere third of their total custodial sentence, a considerable reduction from the previous thresholds of 40% or 50% of their term. This accelerated release mechanism is at the heart of the current controversy.
Burnham himself has publicly acknowledged his desire to exclude more offenders from the scheme but stated that the perilous state of the prison system prevented him from doing so. He argued that making more prisoners exempt was not feasible without risking the complete collapse of the prison system, an outcome he claimed would put the public "at much greater risk." The statistics paint a stark picture: on 3 August, the prison population in England and Wales stood at 86,495, representing 97% of the usable capacity. This near-maximum occupancy reflects decades of insufficient investment in prison infrastructure, where the number of available places has failed to keep pace with a significant and continuous rise in the prison population.
The legal nuances surrounding "indecent assault" are critical to understanding the current dilemma. Before the Sexual Offences Act 2003, many forms of sexual abuse, including child sexual exploitation, were prosecuted under sections 14 and 15 of the Sexual Offences Act 1956. These specific sections of the 1956 Act were notably absent from the government’s initial list of exclusions, creating the very loophole Badenoch identified. This omission strongly suggested that prisoners convicted under these historical statutes could indeed qualify for the early release scheme, despite the grave nature of their crimes.
The real-world implications of this legal oversight are profound. For instance, five men who were jailed in October 2005 after being convicted of indecent assault for abusing a teenage girl in Bradford in the early 2000s, could now potentially be eligible for early release under the scheme. These are individuals whose crimes, while prosecuted under an older legal framework, involved the systematic exploitation and abuse of a child. Similarly, the case of Ajaz Karim, who was jailed in December 2024 for 21 months after being convicted of indecent assault for sexually abusing a 13-year-old girl at the school where he worked as a sports coach, falls into this contentious category. Another example is Shahid Hussain, sentenced to eight years in September 2024 for indecently assaulting a 14-year-old girl in Rotherham in 2003. The potential release of such individuals has reignited fears among victims and communities that have long grappled with the aftermath of these historical injustices.
The government has yet to provide a definitive confirmation of exactly which offenders will ultimately be released, keeping victims and their families in a state of agonizing uncertainty. The controversy extends beyond grooming cases. The mother of PC Andrew Harper, Lissie Harper, expressed her "devastation" upon learning that two men jailed after her son’s tragic death would still be eligible for early release. PC Harper, a 28-year-old police officer, was killed in 2019 when he was dragged by a car for more than a mile as three teenagers fled the scene of a quad bike theft in Berkshire. His family had previously received a letter from the Ministry of Justice confirming that two of the offenders involved in his death could be included in the early release scheme, compounding their grief and sense of injustice.
Earlier this week, Justice Secretary Alex Norris issued an apology to families affected by the early release scheme, acknowledging that they were "carrying the can from previous failures." This admission points to systemic issues within the justice system that have culminated in the current crisis. The justice secretary confirmed that approximately 5,000 extra releases will take place in 10 batches, commencing from October. This figure represents a slight reduction from the initially projected 6,000 releases before the scheme’s revision.
The changes are slated to be phased in gradually, beginning with prisoners serving sentences of fewer than 575 days. The scheme will then progressively extend to include inmates jailed for 12 years or more, who could become eligible for early release as late as June 2027. The precise number of individuals released in each batch will be dynamic, directly dependent on the prevailing prison population levels, which the government anticipates will fluctuate between now and the full implementation of the scheme. The urgent review ordered by Prime Minister Burnham is therefore a critical, albeit reactive, step towards rectifying a policy that threatened to undermine public trust in the justice system and re-traumatise some of the most vulnerable victims in society.







